Kamala Harris ties with Trump at 49% election odds on Polymarket

Quick Take

  • Polymarket bettors have pushed the odds of Harris winning the November election to 49% today.
  • Trump’s chances of winning fell to 49% on Polymarket from around 70% in mid-July.

The odds of U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris winning the upcoming presidential election have risen to 49% on Polymarket, a decentralized prediction market platform, indicating a tie with former U.S. President Donald Trump.

Harris’ odds of winning the November election improved to 49% today from about 44% last week on Polymarket, while Trump’s chances of being elected dropped to 49% from 70% in mid-July.

“Kamala Harris is now tied with Trump,” Polymarket said in an X post today.

Harris’ team has started reaching out to the crypto industry as cryptocurrency has become a part of the election discussions over the past few months with her pro-crypto rival Trump reiterating at several occasions his support for bitcoin.

Harris picked Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate this week. Walz hasn’t really publicly spoken about crypto, but AARP said that Minnesota enacted legislation to strengthen regulation of cryptocurrency kiosks during Walz’s tenure as governor.

Meanwhile, Harris’ campaign team has also brought on David Plouffe, who joined the Binance Global Advisory Board in the past and served as an advisor for Alchemy Pay.

Online exchange YouHodler's Ruslan Lienkha said last week that the bitcoin price could suffer if Harris’ election chances improve. The price of bitcoin edged down 0.58% over the past 24 hours to $55,721 at the time of writing, according to The Block’s bitcoin price page.


Disclaimer: The Block is an independent media outlet that delivers news, research, and data. As of November 2023, Foresight Ventures is a majority investor of The Block. Foresight Ventures invests in other companies in the crypto space. Crypto exchange Bitget is an anchor LP for Foresight Ventures. The Block continues to operate independently to deliver objective, impactful, and timely information about the crypto industry. Here are our current financial disclosures.

© 2025 The Block. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

AUTHOR

Timmy Shen is an Asia editor for The Block. Previously, he wrote about crypto and Web3 for Forkast.News from Taiwan after spending more than three years in Beijing covering finance, entertainment business and current affairs at Caixin Global and Chinese tech at TechNode. His China-related reporting has also appeared in The Guardian. When he's not chasing headlines, you'll find him savoring hot pot and shabu shabu in a Taipei local haunt. Timmy holds an MS degree from Columbia University Graduate School of Journalism. Send tips to [email protected] or get in touch on X/Telegram @timmyhmshen.

See More
Connect on

Editor

To contact the editor of this story: Danny Park at [email protected]

WHO WE ARE

The Block is a news provider that strives to be the first and final word on digital assets news, research, and data.

+ Follow us on Google News
Connect with the block on