Kamala Harris ties with Trump at 49% election odds on Polymarket

Quick Take
- Polymarket bettors have pushed the odds of Harris winning the November election to 49% today.
- Trump’s chances of winning fell to 49% on Polymarket from around 70% in mid-July.


The odds of U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris winning the upcoming presidential election have risen to 49% on Polymarket, a decentralized prediction market platform, indicating a tie with former U.S. President Donald Trump.
Harris’ odds of winning the November election improved to 49% today from about 44% last week on Polymarket, while Trump’s chances of being elected dropped to 49% from 70% in mid-July.
“Kamala Harris is now tied with Trump,” Polymarket said in an X post today.
Harris’ team has started reaching out to the crypto industry as cryptocurrency has become a part of the election discussions over the past few months with her pro-crypto rival Trump reiterating at several occasions his support for bitcoin.
Harris picked Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate this week. Walz hasn’t really publicly spoken about crypto, but AARP said that Minnesota enacted legislation to strengthen regulation of cryptocurrency kiosks during Walz’s tenure as governor.
Meanwhile, Harris’ campaign team has also brought on David Plouffe, who joined the Binance Global Advisory Board in the past and served as an advisor for Alchemy Pay.
Online exchange YouHodler's Ruslan Lienkha said last week that the bitcoin price could suffer if Harris’ election chances improve. The price of bitcoin edged down 0.58% over the past 24 hours to $55,721 at the time of writing, according to The Block’s bitcoin price page.
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