The Scoop: CME emerges as the big winner in the post-ETF crypto landscape

Quick Take

  • We now live in a post-ETF world where crypto is no longer an isolated asset class.
  • This column is adapted from The Scoop newsletter.
     
This column was co-written by Frank Chaparro, director of special projects at The Block, and Laura Vidiella of MNNC Group. The views expressed in this column are their own and do not reflect the opinions of their employers.
 
The crypto market has entered a new phase, one defined by a profound bifurcation and a dramatic shift in market dynamics. With the advent of Bitcoin ETFs, the narrative has evolved: we now live in a post-ETF world where crypto is no longer an isolated asset class. It has firmly positioned itself as one option among many for asset managers allocating capital.

The implications are enormous. The market structure of crypto is changing rapidly, creating unprecedented opportunities for spreads and arbitrage as traditional financial players integrate digital assets into their strategies. The amount of capital willing and able to hold risk has surged, reshaping the ecosystem’s center of gravity. And that center is the CME Group.

CME’s Dominance in the Trump Win Trade

As Bitcoin rallies in the wake of Donald Trump’s election victory, CME has emerged as the premier venue for sophisticated crypto trading. Open interest on CME has reached all-time highs, driven by large call buyers positioning for upside. This isn’t just a retail-driven market anymore—these trades are a strong signal that traditional market makers and institutions see CME as the best proxy for the Trump win trade.

Unlike offshore platforms that cater to retail and smaller institutional players, CME has become the go-to hub for deep-pocketed investors. Its robust infrastructure, regulatory clarity, and liquidity are unparalleled, making it the venue of choice for institutional capital.

The Broader Landscape

In this new environment, crypto has transitioned from being an isolated “alternative asset” to a piece of a much larger puzzle for global asset managers. Its role is increasingly akin to commodities or equities, offering portfolio diversification and macro exposure rather than being a standalone bet on technological adoption.

The ETF era has amplified this shift, creating a bridge between crypto and traditional finance. Now, large pools of capital can enter the market seamlessly, leading to more efficient price discovery and a deeper integration into the global financial system.

The Bottom Line

CME’s rise underscores a broader reality: the crypto market’s center of gravity is moving toward regulated, institutional-grade platforms. For asset managers and sophisticated traders, the action is no longer just offshore—it’s on CME. And as Bitcoin rallies alongside broader macro and political narratives, CME’s role as the market’s beating heart will only grow stronger.

This cycle belongs to CME, where the big players place their bets. For traders and investors, understanding this new dynamic is key to navigating the post-ETF crypto market.

The Block’s Frank Chaparro serves up the latest headlines, charts, trends, and views on crypto and DeFi from around The Block, Twitter, and The Scoop pod. Subscribe to The Scoop newsletter, which hits inboxes on Tuesday and Friday mornings.

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© 2024 The Block. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

About Author

Frank Chaparro is Host of The Scoop podcast and Director of Special Projects. He also writes a biweekly newsletter. Chaparro started his career at Business Insider, where he specialized in the intersection of digital assets and Wall Street, market structure, and financial technology. Soon after joining Business Insider out of Fordham University, Chaparro was interviewing top finance and tech executives, including billionaire Mark Cuban, “Flash Boys” star Brad Katsuyama, Cboe Global Markets CEO Ed Tilly, and New York Stock Exchange President Tom Farley. In 2018, he become a sought after reporter in the crypto world, interviewing luminaries such as Tyler Winklevoss, the cofounder of Gemini, Jeremy Allaire, the CEO of Circle, and Fundstrat head Tom Lee. For inquiries or tips, email [email protected].

Editor

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