The Daily: Ethereum sell pressure, Metaplanet surges on bitcoin buy, OKX's BTC price guessing game and more

Quick Take

  • Ethereum could encounter sell pressure after ETF debut, amid surge in implied volatility.
  • Mt. Gox wallet transfers a small amount of bitcoin to Bitstamp.
  • Here are the top Harris VP contenders on Polymarket.
  • The following is adapted from The Block’s newsletter, The Daily, which comes out on weekday afternoons. 
We hope you had a good weekend, folks. In today's Daily, we take a look at potential sell pressure for ether, small Mt. Gox transfers to Bitstamp, the top Kamala Harris VP contenders and more.
 
Meanwhile, NYSE Arca "certifies its approval" for listing spot Ethereum ETFs as issuers await the SEC's final sign-off.
 
Let's get started. 

Ethereum sell pressure?

Ether could face immediate sell pressure followed by a gradual price recovery after the spot Ethereum ETFs begin trading, according to BRN analyst Valentin Fournier.
  • The forecast concurs with the distribution of open interest for frontend ether options, where the put-call ratio has spiked to 1.45, according to Deribit data. 
  • This indicates a higher number of put options relative to calls, suggesting that traders are expecting potential immediate downside or are seeking to hedge against price declines.
  • In the longer term, Fournier expects the price of ether to drop to between $2,800 and $3,100 before bouncing back toward $4,000 due to the gradual effect of growing spot ETF demand.
  • Fournier recommended maintaining exposure to the potential for positive momentum in ether. However, he still favors bitcoin because "the hype and inflows are already priced in for the second largest digital asset by market capitalization."
  • Several spot Ethereum ETFs from BlackRock, Fidelity, Bitwise, VanEck, 21Shares, Invesco, Franklin Templeton and Grayscale are expected to commence trading on Tuesday.

Mt. Gox transfers small amount of bitcoin to Bitstamp

The Mt. Gox Trustee transferred 0.021 BTC (worth approximately $1,400) to a new wallet on Monday, potentially indicating preparations for more creditor repayments.
  • Blockchain analytics platform Arkham identified one recipient address as belonging to the centralized exchange Bitstamp.
  • Bitstamp is among the five firms selected to manage Mt. Gox repayments, previously confirming it aims to redistribute bitcoin to creditors "as soon as possible" upon receipt.
  • Bitbank and SBI VC Trade have already received and seemingly distributed their portions of the repayments.
  • Kraken received funds from the defunct bitcoin exchange last week and is expected to distribute them by the end of the month.
  • BitGo has yet to receive its allocation for creditors.

The top Harris VP contenders on Polymarket

Bettors on the decentralized predictions platform Polymarket are wagering on Kamala Harris's potential VP candidates following President Biden's decision to withdraw from the 2024 presidential race on Sunday.
  • North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper and Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro are the top contenders for Harris's potential VP pick, each with 28% odds on Polymarket.
  • President Biden endorsed Kamala Harris to replace him as the Democratic Party's nominee, though she has yet to secure the nomination officially.
  • Other potential VP candidates include Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly, Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear, Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker, Maryland Gov. Wes Moore and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg.

Japan's Metaplanet buys an additional $1.2 million worth of bitcoin, shares jump 21%

Tokyo-listed investment firm Metaplanet's stock surged 21% after announcing it bought an additional 20.38 BTC, worth around $1.4 million, on Monday, completing its latest round of planned purchases.
  • The acquisition brings Metaplanet's total bitcoin holdings to 245.99 BTC, valued at approximately $16 million.
  • Metaplanet has made multiple bitcoin acquisitions over the past few months, with an average purchase price of about $63,250 per bitcoin.
  • In May, the company announced that it had started adopting bitcoin as a strategic treasury reserve asset in response to Japan's notably high government debt levels, prolonged periods of negative real interest rates and a weakening yen.

OKX launches bitcoin price guessing game as Telegram mini-app craze continues

OKX launched a Telegram mini-app game called "OKX Racer," challenging users to earn points by guessing if bitcoin's price will "moon" or "doom" at five-second intervals.
  • OKX is the first major centralized crypto exchange to release a Telegram mini-app, tapping into the growing trend for simple clicker games like Hamster Kombat, Notcoin and Yescoin.
  • While OKX did not clarify what, if any, incentive model exists for OKX Racer, interest in these games is generally driven by the expectation of an airdrop to points holders for game-related tokens launched on TON, a blockchain closely linked with Telegram.

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© 2024 The Block. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

About Author

James Hunt is a reporter at The Block and writer of The Daily newsletter, keeping you up to speed on the latest crypto news every weekday. Prior to joining The Block in 2022, James spent four years as a freelance writer in the industry, contributing to both publications and crypto project content. James’ coverage spans everything from Bitcoin and Ethereum to Layer 2 scaling solutions, avant-garde DeFi protocols, evolving DAO governance structures, trending NFTs and memecoins, regulatory landscapes, crypto company deals and the latest market updates. You can get in touch with James on Telegram or 𝕏 via @humanjets or email him at [email protected].

Editor

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