Animoca Brands Research claims Polymarket users likely to stick around after US election

Quick Take

  • Analysts at Animoca Brands Research claim that Polymarket users will likely stick with the platform after its biggest draw — the U.S. presidential election — has concluded.

In a new report from Animoca Brands Research, analysts claim that Polymarket will likely have staying power after today's presidential election in the United States — an event that has skyrocketed the decentralized betting platform's popularity into the mainstream.

Polymarket, an onchain prediction market that provides quantitative odds for future events, saw its monthly trading volume surge from $40 million to $2.5 billion between April and October, according to the report. Meanwhile, open interest increased from $20 million to $400 million. In October alone, the platform's website drew 35 million visits. At the same time, citing Polymarket has become something of a standard in not only crypto media but mainstream news media.

Polymarket's surge into the mainstream consciousness has left some wondering whether it will have staying power after its biggest draw — the U.S. presidential election — has concluded. However, according to Animoca Brands Research, roughly 75% of users with positions trade on topics unrelated to the election, "indicating sustained interest across diverse topics." Additionally, the fact that Polymarket has not determined whether or not it has plans for a token generation event may keep airdrop-hunting users engaged.

"In the long term, Polymarket's growth will depend on deftly navigating its market positioning, content strategy, and regulatory landscape," the analysts wrote. "As the platform's popularity grows, so will public scrutiny and competition from traditional and web3 platforms. To fully leverage its visibility and influence, the Polymarket team must make strategic choices to strengthen its position without losing the public interest it has cultivated."


Disclaimer: The Block is an independent media outlet that delivers news, research, and data. As of November 2023, Foresight Ventures is a majority investor of The Block. Foresight Ventures invests in other companies in the crypto space. Crypto exchange Bitget is an anchor LP for Foresight Ventures. The Block continues to operate independently to deliver objective, impactful, and timely information about the crypto industry. Here are our current financial disclosures.

© 2024 The Block. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

About Author

Adam is the managing editor for Europe, the Middle East and Africa. He is based in central Europe and was a managing editor and podcast host at the crypto exchange OKX's former research arm, OKX Insights. Before that, he co-founded BeInCrypto.com, which he elevated into one of the leading crypto media brands at its peak as the editor-in-chief. Earlier, he served as the editor-in-chief at Bitcoinist.com. Before joining the blockchain and crypto industry, he worked for Looper.com, Grunge.com and SVG.com. He tweets via @XBT002 and can be emailed at [email protected].

Editor

To contact the editor of this story:
Tim Copeland at
[email protected]