Harris’ election win odds slip to 47% on Polymarket as Trump gains ground

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Quick Take

  • U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris’ odds of winning the November election have dipped to 47%, down from a 50-50 standoff last week.
  • The prediction market for U.S. election results has garnered over $777 million in bets on Polymarket.

On Monday, better on Polymarket, a decentralized prediction market platform, lowered the odds of U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris winning the upcoming presidential election to 47%, while Donald Trump’s odds of winning remained at around 50%.

The market saw Trump’s odds of winning surpass Harris’ chances after they reached a tie at one stage on August 26. Before that, Harris had taken the lead over Trump nearly two weeks earlier this month.

The U.S. election results remained the biggest prediction market on the platform, with its volume currently reaching about $777 million.

Last week, Trump launched his fourth NFT trading card series, "Series 4: The America First Collection," which has logged sales of over $2 million. Trump also teased World Liberty Financial, a crypto project two of his sons created. It remains unclear how the project would involve Trump and what services it plans to offer.

At the July Bitcoin conference, Trump promised to fire Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler if elected in November. He also said he’d stop the U.S. from selling its bitcoin holdings and create a “strategic bitcoin reserve.”

Meanwhile, Harris has yet to address crypto directly, but her campaign adviser has said that Harris plans to support measures to help the digital asset industry grow.


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© 2025 The Block. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

AUTHOR

Timmy Shen is an Asia editor for The Block. Previously, he wrote about crypto and Web3 for Forkast.News from Taiwan after spending more than three years in Beijing covering finance, entertainment business and current affairs at Caixin Global and Chinese tech at TechNode. His China-related reporting has also appeared in The Guardian. When he's not chasing headlines, you'll find him savoring hot pot and shabu shabu in a Taipei local haunt. Timmy holds an MS degree from Columbia University Graduate School of Journalism. Send tips to [email protected] or get in touch on X/Telegram @timmyhmshen.

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To contact the editor of this story: Vishal Chawla at [email protected]

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