Bitcoin's post-halving recovery boosted by tempering geopolitical tensions, analyst says

Quick Take

  • Bitcoin has recovered above the $66,000 mark in early trading on Monday as broader market caution dissipates.
  • The digital asset has rebounded from losses suffered in the lead-up to the halving — impacted by geopolitical tensions.

Bitcoin BTC +7.47% gained approximately 1.7% over the past 24 hours, mirroring a recovery in global equities. The foremost cryptocurrency was changing hands for $66,002 at 6:12 a.m. ET., according to The Block's Price Pages. The resurgence is a reversal of last week's risk-off sentiment prompted by concerns over a potential escalation of conflict in the Middle East.

According to ETC Group Head of Research André Dragosch, last week witnessed significant downward reversals in the global crypto hedge fund beta and saw a dominance of bitcoin long futures liquidations. "However, cryptoassets have rebounded from the losses sparked by geopolitical tensions amid the bitcoin halving," Dragosch said. In a Monday report, the analyst posted data from an in-house "cryptoasset sentiment index" which showed a recovery from a year-to-date low that was induced by last week's rise in geopolitical tensions.

Dragosch's observation was followed by his analysis that any positive performance effect linked to the halving has yet to be priced into the market. Additionally, he forecasted that any such effect might only begin to manifest approximately 100 days after Friday's event. "The reason is that the supply deficit induced by the bitcoin halving only tends to accumulate over time and is rather insignificant in the very short term," he added.

RELATED INDICES

The price of bitcoin has risen by around 1.7% in the past 24 hours. Image: The Block.

On Monday, bitcoin experienced an uptick alongside equity indices. The European STOXX 600 was up by 0.25%, while in the U.S. pre-market S&P 500 futures showed a 0.36% increase. London's commodities-heavy FTSE 100 rose around 1%, which was the biggest gainer among large European benchmarks.

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© 2023 The Block. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

About Author

Brian McGleenon is a UK-based markets reporter for The Block. He has worked as a financial journalist and producer for multiple news outlets over the years, such as Fuji Television, The Independent, Yahoo Finance, The Evening Standard, and The Daily Express. Brian is also a screenwriter and producer with one feature film produced and one in development with Northern Ireland Screen. Apart from web3 and cryptocurrency developments, he is also interested in geopolitics, environmental issues, artificial intelligence, and longevity research. Get in touch via email [email protected].

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