Block shares jump after new three-year outlook calls for accelerating growth, expanded buyback

Quick Take
- Block expanded its capital-return plans with a new $5 billion buyback authorization and detailed long-range earnings targets through 2028.
- Analysts say growing adoption of Cash App credit features and early improvements at Square could help support the company’s multi-year forecast.

Shares of the Jack Dorsey-led Block surged on Wednesday after the company laid out a three-year financial outlook that calls for faster growth and substantially higher profitability.
At its first investor day since 2022, Block said it expects gross profit to grow at a mid-teens annual rate through 2028, reaching roughly $15.8 billion, according to CNBC.
The stock was halted shortly before the guidance was released, then jumped roughly 8% to $62 once trading resumed, according to The Block's price page.
Block (XYZ) Price Chart. Source: The Block/TradingView
Adjusted operating income is projected to rise about 30% per year over the same period, topping $4.6 billion by 2028, while adjusted earnings per share are expected to climb into the low-30% range.
Block also enlarged its stock buyback capacity with an additional $5 billion authorization, supplementing the $1.1 billion left from the previous allotment as of September.
The outlook comes two weeks after Block’s latest results, which showed strong gross profit growth but another revenue miss, and follows a three-week slide that pushed shares just above $57 before today’s rebound.
Analysts at William Blair see Block as well-positioned as consumers shift toward fast-turn, app-based borrowing tools, pointing to Cash App’s 134% jump in Borrow usage and calling the company undervalued with more than 40% upside.
Square, the firm's merchant payments unit, is also seeing early traction from refreshed underwriting models and broader distribution.
Block has been expanding deeper into crypto payments as well. Cash App recently added support for stablecoins and Lightning-based bitcoin payments, features that link the app more tightly with Square’s merchant network.
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